Actual/Expected for Early Pace/Position

This looks at how the Actual number of winners with different Early Pace/Position compares to the Expected number of Winners. The data is only taken from Handicaps, which means courses that run a lot of Group races/Maidens/Novices etc will have less data. I would look at general patterns rather than specifics, lack of data could skew individual results. 1 is normal, 2 would be double the expected, 0.5 half the expected etc

Ascot

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f920.7101.3
12f220.810.62.40.7
14f402.80.700
16f81.61.3001.5
20f29.501.500
21.5f201.802.60
5f181.21.2101.2
6f201.710.80.41.3
7f232.51.20.71.10.4
8f(R)64.40.602.30
8f(S)312.60.80.70.71

Ayr

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f411.11.30.90.90.7
13f190.41.20.911.3
15f42.30.62.300
5f231.91.10.71.30.4
6f392.21.50.10.91.3
7f512.60.710.30.9
8f452.40.90.70.80.8

Bath

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f272.41.10.900.6
11.5f231.410.411.3
13f72.41.302.40.6
14f141.820.300.4
17f31.82.4000
5.5f391.81.30.50.21.1
5f30310.21.10.7
8f4420.80.71.70.6

Beverley

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f441.41.60.610.7
12f1602.10.50.41.2
16f61.90.601.42.3
5f552.510.61.10.4
7.5f472.51.30.50.60.4
8.5f261.110.81.70.8

Brighton

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f371.31.10.61.41
12f301.60.90.60.91
5.5f331.81.30.40.60.8
6f332.21.1100.5
7f510.91.11.10.21.3
8f471.30.910.71

Carlisle

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
11f172.50.61.600.6
14f431.4000
17f41.400.904.7
5f172.61.50.20.80.7
6f262.41.10.70.71
7f211.31.40.41.40.6
8f282.20.90.61.50.5
9f131.21.60.30.41.9

Catterick

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
12f271.21.20.10.82.1
14f112.81.10.400.7
16f141.91.70.30.70.6
5f432.11.40.50.20.8
6f362.81.20.80.60.2
7f531.710.51.31

Chelmsford (AW)

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f1041.61.10.80.61
13.5f142.30.21.21.20.9
14f301.50.60.91.41.2
16f181.810.801.2
5f542.61.10.50.31
6f1031.61.30.80.60.7
7f991.71.40.70.50.7
8f861.91.10.90.40.8

Chepstow

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f151.311.90.60
12f93.11.9000
16f41.8001.71.7
5f322.10.70.90.70.9
6f281.310.91.20.9
7f343.61.20.600
8f251.11.50.50.31.2

Chester

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10.5f193.31.10.60.30
11.5f270.900
12.5f141.11.50.60.31.5
13.5f102.7000
14.5f4400.701.6
16f80.820.700.7
18.5f62.40.800.81.5
5.5f41.82.1000
5f162.81.20.20.50.8
6f142.61.10.80.50
7.5f222.40.60.61.50.7
7f162.10.90.50.52.1

Doncaster

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f291.41.10.70.61.1
12f221.70.80.80.51.4
14.5f81.310.50.71.8
16.5f82.31.10.50.90.6
5.5f61.50.70.52.21.1
5f191.610.90.51
6.5f33001.33
6f422.90.90.40.81.2
7f442.20.80.70.91.2
8f901.60.70.91.5
8f(R)171.21.40.70.41.4
8f(S)10300.30.53.1

Epsom

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f232.11.90.11.20.6
12f2321.20.210.9
5f53.71.30.700
6f110.71.20.51.41.2
7f311.71.40.70.70.4
8.5f202.10.91.10.90.5

Ffos Las

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f151.30.51.60.60.9
12f111.91.20.40.60.9
14f72.41.4001.4
16f61.31.31.500
5f102.90.9000.5
6f161.310.70.61.6
7.5f162.61.20.50.50.3
8f81.71.20.70.80.6

Goodwood

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f1701.60.70.81.2
11f62.50.61.800
12f1620.70.90.51.1
14f120.70.71.30.61.4
16f120.71.60.501.1
5f220.811.701
6f291.81.40.50.70.8
7f201.41.10.61.21.1
8f231.81.40.51.20.6
9f83.610.410

Hamilton

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
11f171.610.70.81.1
12f1721.60.50.60.3
13f142.20.90.50.70.9
5f371.71.11.100.5
6f521.91.30.70.50.6
8.5f352.21.50.20.70.6
9f252.51.50.30.80.2

Haydock

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10.5f20003.3
10f311.70.80.90.71.2
11.5f171.41.40.50.80.7
12f72.32.2000.9
14f160.510.90.42.1
16f54.4000.91.5
5f241.81.20.70.90.7
6f292.40.80.70.90.9
7f4321.30.710.2
8f391.810.90.70.9

Kempton (AW)

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
11f52210.60.91.1
12f532.41.10.60.80.6
16f492.20.90.80.70.8
5f25.30000
6f10221.70.50.70.4
7f1182.71.40.60.50.5
8f1501.61.40.90.50.6

Leicester

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f272.10.60.60.91.2
12f311.51.70.700.3
5f143.50.60.60.80.4
6f391.11.50.61.10.6
7f512.30.90.80.60.8
8f282.41.10.70.50.8

Lingfield

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f8120.500.5
11.5f71.410.62.30.8
13f32.11.8000
14f10200
16.5f1200
5f53.82.3000
6f151.520.50.50.6
7.5f62.31.11.800
7f131.11.11.40.70.6
9f22.50002.5

Lingfield (AW)

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f931.11.11.30.60.7
12f631.21.11.20.31
13f62.60.71.400.6
16f290.91.20.71.30.9
5f552.11.20.810.4
6f841.81.30.70.80.7
7f981.31.40.80.50.9
8f1021.21.60.60.60.8

Musselburgh

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
12.5f202.31.30.800.5
13f291.3000
14f53.30003.8
16f80.61.21.500.9
18f202.23.300
5f572.41.30.60.60.6
7f442.81.40.30.30.5
8f192.10.61.50.80
9f1921.30.40.31.2

Newbury

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f321.60.90.70.71.5
11f302.202.20
12f212.21.40.20.50.8
13.5f63.80.60.81.50
16.5f41.820.800
16f201.62.200
5f73.91.20.500
6f161.21.50.41.50.8
7f320.60.81.101.8
8f112.10.30.402.7
8f(S)111.50.60.81.11.6

Newcastle (AW)

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f761.310.81.21
12.5f600.91.20.60.81.5
16.5f241.70.80.80.91.2
5f841.810.80.70.9
6f1281.31.20.70.81.1
7f1121.81.10.50.71.3
8f1201.70.90.61.21.1

Newmarket (July)

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f270.51.80.501.1
12f161.11.30.301.4
14f1001.61.801
16f2001.802.3
5f110.61.50.61.80.7
6f342.71.10.70.60.5
7f421.60.61.10.81.2
8f342.10.710.90.7

Newmarket (Rowley)

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f162.10.810.50.9
12f122.71.30.50.60
14f41.710.820
16f21.71.7000
18f401.40.802
5f51.41021.3
6f214.10.80.60.80.3
7f341.41.10.41.21.3
8f281.80.90.90.90.9
9f1020.70.60.71.7

Nottingham

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f541.71.20.50.31.3
14f200.81.80.80.50.5
16f71.41.91.200
5f371.41.10.71.20.8
6f341.210.80.81.3
8.5f532.210.70.20.9

Pontefract

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f221.41.5100.6
12f1621.40.70.80
17f72.81.3000.6
18f73.700.71.11.2
21.5f23.30000
5f233.50.40.80.90.5
6f411.81.30.30.91.2
8f382.51.110.20.6

Redcar

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f301.51.30.60.90.9
14f154.60.20.50.40.7
16f25.51.8000
5f223.80.90.30.40.9
6f311.81.30.80.40.9
7f311.910.80.90.9
8f402.51.10.80.20.6
9f15.50000

Ripon

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f3021.20.810.4
11f22.81.800
12f221.70.810.90.8
14f10005
16f102.810.41.40.4
5f2320.90.70.51.3
6f462.91.30.50.60.4
8f352.610.70.70.4

Salisbury

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f211.21.40.501.1
12f182.10.80.81.30.5
5f121.70.80.51.60.8
6f232.71.30.30.40.5
7f111.81.31.100.5
8f281.30.80.70.91.4

Sandown

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f322.80.50.910.8
14f150.90.90.82.10.4
5f152.51.20.51.10
7f162.10.80.80.41.3
8f241.411.11.30.2
9f72.600.81.41

Southwell (AW)

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
11f272.11.40.20.60.7
12f471.30.90.91.11.1
14f222.410.21.11
16.5f200.41.3101.4
18.5f10030
5f712.61.10.70.50.7
6f842.51.20.60.70.6
7f822.50.80.90.41.1
8f8321.20.80.40.9

Thirsk

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
12f241.51.10.70.90.9
14f6010.61.32
16f30203.50
5f222.11.70.50.40.8
6f502.210.60.51.5
7f312.21.70.70.20.5
8f293.40.90.600.8

Wetherby

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f42.11.204.30.9
13f1030
14f401.601.61.9
16f201.5002.3
5.5f92.40.81.20.80
7f840.60.800
8f1030.80.40.71.1

Windsor

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f4430.90.50.80.6
11.5f521.81.30.70.60.6
5f441.51.40.70.31.1
6f611.610.70.81.1
8f542.11.20.50.50.8

Wolverhampton (AW)

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
12f931.51.30.50.61
14f431.51.10.90.80.9
16.5f231.11.60.60.21.5
5f1142.31.70.70.10.3
6f14121.20.90.60.5
7f16521.40.70.50.7
8.5f1471.81.50.50.51
9.5f1171.31.30.80.51

Yarmouth

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10f391.61.20.810.5
11.5f202.80.60.510.8
14f141.710.31.60.8
5f301.11.10.90.61.1
6f4621.10.50.81
7f411.61.20.80.60.8
8f4821.10.40.90.9
9f32.802.101.7

York

DistanceRacesLedTowards-FrontMiddleTowards-RearRear
10.5f211.31.21.10.60.7
12f162.50.90.71.50.4
14f82.70.51.10.80.7
16.5f131.60.90.30.52
5.5f55.201.200
5f184.31.20.301.7
6f352.61.10.80.41.2
7f293.11.20.50.60.9
8f181.82.30.80.30
9f2601.500